FxPro浦汇：英镑逆转 - 德化论坛

FxPro浦汇

：英镑逆转

来源：亚洲外汇网

作者：FXpro

Although the phrase feels tired and worn,there is a definite‘risk-on’tone to markets at present,prevalent in both FX markets and beyond.This can be seen in the continued march higher of the Aussie,equities and also sterling,which has found it impossible not to join in,despite the bearish undertone that has been evident for most of the year as the EU referendum in June looms ever larger.The yen has been the interesting one.Normally we’d see this weaken in such a‘risk-on’phase to markets.Yes,it has been underperforming vs.most other major currencies,but the reversal higher in USDJPY has been minimal.This suggests that the forces pushing the yen higher are still at play,as frustrating as this must be for the Japanese authorities.

虽然这个词已经让人厌倦，但我们还是得用一下，目前市场是确定地开始“风险开启”状态了，尤其是在外汇市场以及相关领域。比如最近澳元，股票还有英镑就在持续走高，要停止的话几乎是不可能的；不过从今年开始的做空情绪还是存在，因为六月退出欧盟公投即将来临。日元一直都是令人感兴趣的货币。通常我们认为在市场处于“风险开启”状态时日元就会疲软。没错，日元针对绝大多数主要货币的表现已经不好了，不过美元日元还是出现微小幅度的逆转走高。这种情况意味着推动日元走高的力量还是存在，估计日本政府对此也感到很烦恼。

For sterling the change in tone is pertinent,given that it was the weakest major currency during the first quarter.It harks back to the old adage that nothing moves in a straight line forever in FX.You only have to look at the Brazilian real this year to know that.Whilst cable has shown a decent turn-around against the dollar,the move against the euro has been more modest,taking it to levels last seen 3 weeks ago.Note that BoE Governor Mark Carney appears in the UK parliament later today,so we could see some further comments on the wires with regards to Brexit,but the Bank has probably said all it wants to say on the matter,especially as the campaign has now officially started.Elsewhere for today,the agenda is fairly light,with just German ZEW data released at 09:00 GMT.Note that the overall positive tone to risk has allowed oil to recover all of the losses seen in the wake of the weekend Doha developments.

对英镑来说这种转变也是相关的，因为英镑时第一季度里表现最疲软的货币。有一句老话说的好，外汇领域里没有什么东西会一直走直线。我们只要看看今年巴西雷亚尔就知道了。另外英镑美元与美元相比出现了明显转折，这种针对欧元的变化非常温和，导致其达到了三周之前的水平。还要注意的是英格兰银行总裁Mark Carney今天晚些时候将出席英国议会，因此我们就可以从新闻上多了解一些关于英国退出欧盟的事情，不过英格兰银行也许已经把话说得很清楚了，特别是在为公投造势的活动已经开始的情况下。今天数据方面的消息较少，只有格林尼治时间9点发布的德国ZEW数据。要注意目前全面改善的风险状况已经让油价恢复了所有Doha会谈前的所有损失。

https://adm.yzforex.com/ades/click/aid/117

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